Hi everybody, sorry I set up this tantalising blog then buggered off, stuff got in the way – flu, Xmas, my show in Camberwell, flu etc.
As you can guess from the title, I am convinced that Labour, in their present form will “die” in the near future & that their death will transform our Politics. Lots of other stuff may get covered on the way.
Given the Elections tomorrow I ought to make some predictions, everyone else is.
Labour, as the Official Opposition should top the poll & make hundreds of gains. The Libdems should get 14 or 15% & lose hundreds of seats like we did in 2011, 2012 & 2013. Neither of those results tell us anything about next May
I expect Labour, UKIP & The Tories to all come the range of 20-25%. Any one of them could come 1st, 2nd or 3rd without telling us anything useful but the order will certainly have a real effect with third place triggering a crisis for whichever gets it.
Most Libdem supporters seem to expect 7-8% & a possible 5th place but I think 12-14% more likely.
After that I see Greens & AIFE tussling for 5th place, followed by The SNP & then the “Other others”, another 10 lists in London – some of which had me baffled & I am a Politics nerd.